Thursday, November 21, 2013

Week #12 The Fantasy Footballfolk Weekly Four Sit Em' or Start Em'

Fantasy Football Week 12 Start Ems'  
By: Eric Allen
I’mmmmm baaaaccckk!  I had to take a little time away from my weekly brilliance because I was really busy getting my life in order before I had shoulder surgery.  Unlike most of the fantasy writers you read about, I am actually an athlete so setbacks do occur. This week I have the “Starts” and  I am pecking away with one hand on the keyboard because Mr. Lonero is sunbathing.  Well, get a pen and buckle up. It’s crunch time in fantasy land.  Some of you are looking for bye weeks, some of you are trying to get a last minute jump in the standings, some of you are on the bubble and some of you are playing spoiler.  The bye weeks are finally over after this week so W’s are a must! 
Alex Smith Mr. Safe had his second best fantasy performance last week against Denver.  Coincidentally it was his second worst completion percentage on the season.  The one thing you can rely on, is his ability to protect the football.  When Smith gets the chance to throw the ball more thant 34 times he has shown the ability to produce.  This week he faces a SD team that can put up points with anyone, so this should allow plenty of opportunity for Smith to have another 20+ week.   The Chiefs want to prove last week was a fluke and I expect big things from him.
Ryan Fitz”Magic” – Backup Quarterbacks are like underwear.  You need them in case things go wrong.  Otherwise you’ll be ruined for at least the day.  When THE guy goes down, you need someone to step in and not lose games for you. Teams understand you are not THE guy and will only lean on you when needed.  Before Fitzpatrick got paid in Buffalo they treated him as though he was the backup.  Well, once his bank account was full, the gameplan changed.  As long as Tennessee can allow him to make plays when he needs to and not force things, Fitzpatrick should have the ability to put up solid numbers.  God knows he has more weapons around him than most of the league’s top guys, so if he can play efficient he will be effective in your lineup this week.
Case Keenum -  Well there is pretty much only one reason this guy made the cut this week.  He is playing a JV team.  Last week Keenum was pulled in the third quarter because his coaches didn’t think he had what it takes to make a comeback.  (Kubiak still making poor decisions from a birds eye view) This week comebacks will not come up and Keenum will return to form.
Pierre Thomas – Thomas has shown all season long how he is capable of doing anything that is asked of him.  This week he will be looking across at a team that has a meaningless season at this point.  The biggest bonus for Pierre has been Sproles injury woes.  Usually Sproles is the guy in on passing downs and we all know how much the Saints love to chuck it around.  On a short week Sproles is questionable yet again, so look for Pierre to see all kinds of action this Thursday night.
Shane Vereen -  Is another do it all guy on my list this week.  He was targeted 11 times this past week by Brady! 11 Times!  With Ridley still coughing the ball up we could see a whole lot of Vereen as the Pats should be in a good old fashion shootout.  Vereen is a match up nightmare and I expect Tom Brady to use his back and TE to shred up the Broncos.
Donald Brown – Mr. Brown has the one ingredient that Trent Richardson’s dinner is missing.  He has the big play burst.  Getting  almost double the carries that Richardson got last week, Brown is the hot player on the Colts.  For Luck to get the time he needs, the Colts have to prove their ability to run the ball consistently.
Jarrett Boykin – Boykin has turned in Tolzien underneath blanket.   With his playmaking abilities his YAC yards have helped produce WR1 #’s for the past 2 weeks.   21 Targets with Tolzien are some eye popping numbers.  This week Boykin should shine against a terrible 29th ranked Vikings  pass defense.
Cecil Shorts – Most of the time in life the squeaky wheel gets the oil, and Cecil shorts has made himself heard.  He wants the ball and there is a good chance he’ll get his chances.  The Jaguars don’t have many playmakers and Cecil Shorts is probably their best option to make things happen.  We’ve seen time and time again how diva wideouts get their way when they complain, so until I see otherwise, I expect Shorts to play a major role in the gameplan.
Roddy White – White finally showed a little hope, on an otherwise waste of  season, with his score last week.  However, White has been his biggest critic and knows that without Julio Jones, the offense depends on him.  White’s high ankle sprain appears to finally be a thing of the past.  I expect White to finally show up because the Falcons will find themselves playing catch up all night on Thursday.
Cobie Fleener – With back to back 10 target weeks, you’d be crazy to sit Fleener unless you have Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, or Gronkowski.  Fleener has become Luck’s relief after losing Reggie Wayne.  With that said the Colts face the Cardinals who are the leagues worst against TE’s this year.  Fleener is a must start!
Delanie Walker – Delanie Walker has been straight balling the past two weeks.  Coaches have been praising his pass and run blocking and this has allowed him to be more involved on every down.  He came in to Tennessee with high expectations and has finally been proving his worth.  I’ve got Walker ranked 7th amoung TE’s this week
Garrett Graham – Graham is on this week’s list for the exact same reason Case Keenum is.  They are matched up against the Jags.  Even though the Texans could be up early, I think they  will keep their foot on the throttle as they try to use this game as a confidence builder.  Otherwise we can expect a major change at head coach if the Kubiak can’t get his team up for this game.

Fantasy Football Week 12 Sit Ems' 
Last 2 week push for playoffs/bye week. Tough week to have studs out (Lynch, McCoy, AJ Green to name a few).  Andy Dalton is on bye so unfortunately I can’t list him as a sit. I will forgo listing Matt Ryan as well as I think he is an obvious bench for ROS. As always keep an eye on Friday’s practice for latest news on injuries.  Feel free to find me on twitter @Bakosw for any questions/comments/concerns. Best of luck this week.

Phillip Rivers (@ KC) – Only 6 tds in last 5 games. Losing WRs left and right (see Keenan Allen below). KC defense will bounce back after being dismantled against Denver. Must win division game for KC I see their front 7 getting to Rivers and making it a bad day for him.

RGIII (vs. SF) – Did you see his last pass on Sunday? Are you comfortable starting him? Plenty of other guys available and worthy of a start over him. Not exactly the guy I’d want my season riding on for a come from behind victory on MNF. Could put up 30. Could put up 3.

Ben Roethlisberger (@ CLE) – Big Ben had a great game last week (367 yds, 4 tds) but bad news is Antonio Brown will be locked down by Joe Haden and Emmanuel Sanders is banged up (watch that Friday practice report!). I like Markus Wheaton but he hasn’t played all year. Pitt will still throw but this game will be runs and little dinks and dunks. I don’t see a 350+ yd game from Big Ben again this week.

DeMarco Murray (@ NYG) – NYG has allowed 8th least points to opposing RBs on avg. Murray comes in scoring in 3 out of last 4 but look for Dallas to air it out vs NYG weak secondary. Jason Pierre Paul has that defensive line and linebackers clicking (and even Tom Coughlin smiling). Murray seems to slow down late in the season and I’d look elsewhere if you have it this week.

Ray Rice (vs NYJ) – Another player coming off a great week. Season high 131 yds and a td vs Chi in the mud and wind. Balt was forced to feed him because of weather conditions and he didn’t disappoint.  However, the hip just isn’t right. NYJ are fast and good against the run. Holes wont be as big and Rice just isn’t as shifty as he has been in the past.

Lamar Miller (vs CAR) – I acquired Miller via trade (as a throw in, main target was DJax) this week as a bye week fill in for Lynch and Gio. He is such a wild card. One week shows potential and bright flashes, then Miami doesn’t get him touches. Miami’s offense line is a mess. I’m iffy with him as my flex but its full pt ppr and hes capable of some catches (as Patriots did with Vereen last week vs CAR).  AS far as standard scoring goes he will have no where to run but to your bench.

Keenan Allen (@ KC) – Injured last week and missed some of the 4Q. Has missed practice up until I am writing this. I think he plays in the game but shouldn’t play on your fantasy team. KC db’s are big and physical and a wounded Allen will suffer.

Terrance Williams (@ NYG) – A wild card. Juicy matchup vs NYG but with the return of Miles Austin William’s snaps are in jeopardy. Has been reliable to Romo and any questions surrounding Austin will up Williams’ value. Just be prepared to go elsewhere this week.

Hakeen Nicks (vs DAL) – A huge disappointment this season. Reuben Randle gets his red zone targets and Eli still chucking towards Cruz. Only so many balls to go around and the free agent to be isn’t carrying his weight. Cupcake matchup vs Dal but Cruz and Randle will benefit.

Jordan Reed (vs SF) – Concussed last Sun and playing(?) in MNF this week. Tough call considering I’m guessing you don’t have Vernon Davis as a backup. It’s a gamble to wait to see if he plays. Will produce if he does, but that’s a big gamble that I am not willing to take. I personally picked up Delanie Walker to start this week because concussions and NFL rules scare me. 3 points are better than 0 in a no play.

Martellus Bennett (@ STL) – Josh McCown doesn’t look his way. Marshall, Bennett, and Forte are getting the targets. Culter out again. Only 1 td in last 8 games. 2 catches last week and 1 was in OT for 40 yds. TE has been sloppy this year but there is probably a safer option out there.

Tim Wright (@ DET) – Glennon loved throwing to him. Then the Bobby Rainey show has taken over. Glennon also becoming more comfortable with his WRs and doesn’t check down to Wright as much. Playing touchdown or bust if you start him this week.