Wednesday, November 27, 2013

The Fantasy Footballfolk Weekly Forecast Sit & Starts Week #13

The Fantasy Footballfolk Weekly Four Sit Em' or Start Em' Week #13

Week 13 Starts By: Senior Writer Justin Lonero @lonero_Justin

Its week 13 and fantasy teams are heading to the playoffs, and some are heading back to Play Station 4.  Some teams are planning for next season already, and some teams are depending on week 13 to sneak into the playoffs. The weather in fantasy land is still as unpredictable as ever.  Michael Crabtree is back and he is a day late,and a dollar short for my team, but he will probably save a couple teams.  My week 13 Starts are as follows.

Quarterback's

1. Josh McCown (@Minnesota)- Week 13 McCown has a dream match up against a Vikings team who cannot stop anyone.  As Jay Cutler's replacement, McCown has been precise, and composed, heading into his third start.  Last week he had a career high in completions.  The Vikings have allowed over 3000 yards, and 24 touchdowns so far this season.  McCown is on of my favorite middle tie, quarterback match ups.

2. Matt Ryan(@Buffalo)- We all know the season the Falcons are having, and it has been horrendous at best.  Week 13 Matt Ryan finds himself facing a Bills team on the road, that has allowed 22 touchdowns in 11 games.  The Bills are giving up the third most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.  It may be the week that the Falcons click on all cylinders offensively, for the first time this season.

3. Colin Kaepernick(vs. St.Louis)- Things look like they are getting steadier in San Francisco.  Week 13 Kaepernick gets to play a Rams team that has allowed almost 800 yards in the air, over the past two weeks. Michael Crabtree is slated to come back from his Achilles injury.  Colin has to play well for the Niners to compete with the Cardinals, and Seahawks in the NFC west.  Owners have been anticipating this production since week 1, and it would appear he has hit his stride.

Running Backs


1. Andre Brown(@Washington)- Andre the Giant has been a pleasant surprise leading the Giants in rushing.  Week 13 he will see a Redskin defense that has given up  14 touchdowns,and almost 1500 total yards, to opposing running backs through 11 games. Although Brown didn't reach the end zone last week he still ran wild against the Cowboys.

2. Rashad Jennings(@Dallas)- The good news is Jennings has been a beast for the Raiders since DMC went down with a hamstring.  He has averaged over 100 all purpose yard in just about every week.  The bad news is Mcfadden is coming back Thursday.  Horrible timing for owners to worry about a time share in the Raiders backfield.  Typically I would shy away from a situation such as this, but the Cowboys statistically are the worst defense,against the run, in football.  The Cowboys are allowing 5 yards a carry to running backs,leaving me to believe there might be enough pieces of pie,to go around for DMC and Jennings.

3. Danny Woodhead (vs. Cincinnati)-  Danny Woodhead is not going to carry the ball 25 times, and rush for 100 yards.  But he will be a model of consistency in the passing game with several carries as well.  I sound like a defense attorney representing my client.  He is a focal point in the red zone for the Chargers.  With the hamstring injury to Ryan Mathews, Woodhead might be asked to take on a larger role heading forward. The Chargers are seeking a playoff berth, and it is paramount that Woodhead is involved heavily.  Week 13 he will face the Bengals at home.

Wide Receivers

1.  Larry Fitzgerald(@ Philadelphia)- Week 13 Fitz will face an Eagles team that lets wide receivers do whatever they feel.  They have given up 15 touchdowns, and 184 receptions,in 11 games.  Larry Fitzgerald is showing some glimmer of hope for owners down the stretch.  I know, I know, his poor quarterback play has crippled his career and what if he did have a stud quarterback get tossed around.  He was targeted a team high 11 times last week should be very encouraging for fantasy owners going forward.

2. Harry Douglas(@ Buffalo)- Matt Ryan is one of my favorite starts, so its fitting the recipient of his distribution should be mentioned.  The Bills have allowed 16 touchdowns to wide receivers this season,just about tops in the league.  With Julio Jones, and Roddy White being banged up all year Douglas has cashed in on his opportunities.  A staggering number is that (7) wide receivers have gone over the century mark against the Bills this season.

3. Alshon Jeffery(@ Minnesota)- Alshon Jeffery plays second fiddle to Brandon Marshall on a weekly basis.  Anyone in the league would.  But playing second fiddle has its perks.  Jeffery has been a target beast all season for the Chicago Bears.  The Bears have an excellent matchup against the Vikings week 13 in Minnesota.  The Vikes have given up on average, a touchdown a game to wide receivers.

Tight Ends

1. Jordan Cameron(vs. Jacksonville)- The difference between Cameron's production with Brandon Weeden at quarterback and any one else is like night and day.  Weeden will be his quarterback week 13 in a juicy matchup, against the Jaguars at home.  Despite the inability to reach the end zone since week 7, Cameron should change that week 13.  The Jaguars are among the top 3 worst defenses against tight ends.

2. Brent Celek/ Zach Ertz (vs. Arizona)-  The Cardinals are allowing a touchdown to a tight end,  in just about every game this season.  Pretty good news for Eagle tight end owners, that have them collecting dust on their bench.  This is a perfect example of playing the matchup.

3. Coby Fleener(vs. Tennessee)- It is clear the Colts offense is suffering without future Hall Of Famer Reggie Wayne.  Coby Fleener is picking up where he left off at Stanford with Andrew Luck.  The Colts face a middle of the road Titans D, who has given up their share of touchdowns to Tight ends.  He is being targeted early, and often and will remain a TE1 for the rest of the year.

Week 13 SitsBy: Bill Bakos @Bakosw

This is it. One last push for the playoffs or a bye.  No more bye weeks. Everyone available. Teams themselves are trying to get in to playoff position. Players a little banged up (Forte, Moreno, Stacy, Ivory, etc.).  Three Thursday games throw us for a loop. Who to start, injuries to watch, who plays when. All fun stuff, right? Last week we saw Philip Rivers torch a KC defense that lost their two top pass rushers early in the game. RGIII just decided to cost a lot of fantasy players headaches. Tis the season for joy, let down, heartache, and frustration. @Bakosw on twitter if you need last minute advice. Happy Thanksgiving everyone.

Quarterback's

1. RGIII (vs New York Giants)– How could you possibly start him? He looked so awful at home against SF. Slow, dumb mistakes, you name it. RGIII cannot read a defense and pass from the pocket. The QB read has been figured out by defenses (Wilson is only QB I trust running it at this point because he is actually smart) and teams are forcing him to make throws that he isn’t capable of making. S-I-T. 

2. Andrew Luck (vs. Tennessee Titans)– Luck is a different QB indoors as he will be this week but he’s another guy I just cannot rely on. Has not been the same comeback kid he was once Wayne went down. Add in ZERO running game and it spells disaster. Luck can still play and hes not a lost cause like Mr. Robert Griffin III is but if I’m a team that needs a W this week I cant turn reigns to Luck.

3. Nick Foles (vs Arizona Cardinals)– Foles has been lights out. Kelly named him the starter rest of the season this week. My concern is this (stats courtesy of Evan Silva): opposing QBs vs Ariz Defese during their 4 game win streak is this: 103-185 for 920 yds, 5 TDs and 7 INTs. Cardinals blitz a lot during passing downs and force quick throws. Foles is due for a dud and I’m predicting it happens this week. Peterson on DJax and Honey Badger roaming around doesn’t help either.

Running Backs

1. Stevan Ridley (@ Houston Texans)– Don’t’ give Ridley the turkey on Thursday because he’d probably drop it (ba dum cha!). Fumbled on opening drive and didn’t see the field rest of the game. League leading for running backs 4 lost fumbles. Belichick already was giving Blount carries (who also fumbled and didn’t return) and Vereen is a force in the passing game. Bolden was big waiver wire pickup this week but hes another player that is a giant question mark. Only Patriots RB orth starting is Vereen (who is a must start in PPR). In Bill We Trust is a motto here in New Enlgand. You just cant trust him to play his best players for fantasy purposes.

2. Bobby Rainey (@ Carolina Panthers)– To say he got owned vs Detroit is an understatement. 18 carries for 35 yds. Carolina run defense is even better. He will still see the field because he is last man standing in Tampa but don’t expect much if anything at all.

3. Steven Jackson (@ Buffalo Bills)– I cannot believe SJax was a Second round pick in most leagues.  Old, slow, injury prone.  His lone rushing td came last week. 74 carries for 255 yards this season. Facing Buffalo this week who has given up fifth fewest fantasy points to RBs this year and leads league in sacks and interceptions. Atlanta needs to get the running game going but I doubt its with Jackson carrying the load.  It’s a shame what happened to Atlanta this year.

Wide Receivers

1. Steve Smith (vs Tampa Bay Bucs)– Revis Island. Smith plays with energy and explosiveness and Revis will take that all away from him. Has not eclipsed 100 yards once this season in a single game. Another player who is getting older and can still contribute to his team but wont necessarily contribute to your fantasy team.

2. Andre Johnson (vs New England Patriots)– This weeks wild card. How can I recommend a guy with 74 receptions and 119 targets? Simple. Case Keenum at QB and Aqib Talib at CB. Last week Johnson was awful 2 receptions for 21 yards. Seen jawing with Schaub on the sideline 2 weeks ago. Rumors of Hou clubhouse in disarray. Talib has become one of the true shutdown corners in football (Haden, Sherman, Revis, Talib) and prevents a very tough matchup for Johnson. Keenum will try to get Johnsom the ball but Talib will have his #.

3. Golden Tate (vs New Orleans Saints)– Return of Percy Harvin. Sea is a run first team with Wilson and Lynch. Only so many passes and touchdowns to go around.

Tight Ends

1. Antonio Gates (vs Cincinatti Bengals)– Touchdown or bust this week. Cincinnati's defense has held tight ends to five touchdowns this season with 50 yards or less to tight ends in all but one game.  Ladarius Green stealing his targets (Gates only had 1 redzone target last week).

2. Tyler Eifert/Jermaine Gresham (@ San Diego Charges)– What was supposed to be a Gronk/Hernandez like combo has produced like they were expected. AJ Green and Giovani Bernard’s success has really hurt Eifert and Gresham. If they were one guy it would be easier to say yes start the Cincy TE. But every week it’s the other. Potential to crush a fantasy team with a 0 stat line always a possibility and a risk I’m not taking.

3. Jared Cook (@ San Francisco 49ers)– SF allowed zero points to TEs last week (granted it was Fred Davis but still). Tavon Austin is showing improvement and Zac Stacy running the ball. Seems the Jared Cook who never got the ball in Tennessee has now turned in to the Jared Cook who isn’t getting the ball in StL.

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