Wednesday, November 6, 2013

The Fantasy Footballfolk Weekly Forecast "Sit & Starts Week #10"

Week 9 was a high scoring week in the NFL. If you predicted 7 td passes from Foles you Sir/M’am are
a Guru. I did not and recommended him as a sit. As I did with Andy Dalton during his 5 td pass performance. Here’s the thing: these QBs are the definition of boom or bust. Both have the weapons (AJ Green, DeSean Jackson) as well as the running game (Shady, Gio). They SHOULD be quality fantasy starters week in and week out. But they aren’t.  They’re a gamble. Daltons line a week after his 5 tds? 32/53 for 338 and 3 INTs.  He isn’t reliable in fantasy. Worth a gamble? Sure. If you like to gamble. Not saying Foles comes out and throws a dud, but hes is fully capable of it (see week 7). On to the starts this week. As always tweet me at @Bakosw if you agree/disagree/questions/comments/concerns…

Week 10 Fantasy Football Starts by Bill Bakos  @Bakosw 

Week 10 Fantasy Football Start Em's Quarterback's
1. Russell Wilson (@Atalanta) – Russell Wilson has been a smooth commander of The Seahawks offense. Pretty easy when you have Beast Mode running on your side. Defense’s can’t cheat either way because Lynch can burn you. Wilson is smart (aside from a redzone INT last week, which will not happen again – Lynch will get all 4 carries inside the 5 yard line this week). Add in the QB read option and Wilson only adds to his stat line.  Golden Tate was on Revis Island last week. Expect him and Baldwin to have a lot of room against the sunken ship Atlanta Falcons

2. Philip Rivers (vs. Denver) – You want a high scoring game here it is. Denver will put up points and force San Diego to throw. Music to the ears of Rivers and Keenan Allen owners. Rivers looks like the QB of old.  Whether he was injured or whatever this season is clicking for him. Expect it to continue.

3. Robert Griffin III (@ Minnesota) – I am a firm believer in RGIII. I continue to roll him out every week and am doing so with confidence against Minn.  Jordan Reed gives him a viable check down and Minn does not have the right personal to cover Pierre Garcon. Similar to Wilson where you add in the leg factor RGIII always capable of ground points.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Start Em's Running Backs
1. Zac Stacy (@ Indianapolis) – Yes I got burned by listing him as a sit last week. But the area of the game I was questioning has been answered. I always liked Stacy’s ability but I questioned the Rams’ running game as a whole. Last week was first rushing td. Stacy is a monster. StL knows it and they will be feeding him the ball rest of the season. MUST START.

2. Le’Veon Bell (vs. Buffalo) – Saw 20+ touches last week vs NE. A legit 3 down back on a running oriented team. Used a lot in the screen game. He’s maturing, hitting holes, and expect him to see the endzone this weekend.

3. Chris Johnson/Shonn Greene (vs. Jacksonville) – Tennessee running game last week was working. CJ?K ran hard and actually looked like he was trying. Johnson and Greene will see the field a lot vs the lowly Jaguars. Blowout city once again and Ten RB will chew up clock.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Start Em's Wide Receivers
1. Keenan Allen (vs. Denver) – 8 receptions on 11 targets. And found the endzone for the 3rd time this season. Rivers’ favorite receiver. Gates was quoted saying something special. The Waiver Wire pick up of the year is someone you want on your team while pushing for the playoffs.

2. Cecil Shorts (@ Tennesse) – No Justin Blackmon for rest of the season means more balls Shorts’ way. King of garbage time racks up receptions and yards and easily can be considered a WR2/Flex play.

3. Denarius Moore (@ Giants) – Moore is a middle of the pact start. Don’t go benching Larry Fitz or Andre Johnson for him but he is a smarter play than say a Hakeem Nicks or any NO Saints WR. NYG secondary is soft and Pryor continues to grow as a QB. 3x this season has seen double digit targets and avg 16+ yds per catch.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Start Em's Tight Ends
1. Timothy Wright (vs. Miami ) – He’s found the endzone in each of the last 2 weeks. Glennon loves throwing to him and I expect 10+ targets his way this Monday. He is the Bucs best passing option behind VJax.

2. Jordan Reed (@ Minnesota) – Reed disappeared in the 2nd half last week and it hurt the Redskins.  They will notice and quickly figure out that their offense is much better when Reed is involved. Fred Davis continues to be a healthy scratch and Reed is definitely athletic enough to be a playmaker moving forward.

3. Coby Fleener  (vs. St. Louis) – Luck to TY Hilton had it working last Sunday night. Unfortunately the entire NFL saw as well. Good news for Fleener owners.  Luck’s college teammate should be involved heavily in the passing game this week with most eyes on Hilton.


 Week 9 was another example how sporadic, and unpredictable the NFL can be.  Nick Foles looked like Johnny Unitas, CJ Spiller showed a glimpse why he was a top 5 RB coming into the season, and Case Keenum emerged over night as a must start quarterback.  Fantasy football teams are having fire sales, and contenders are scratching,and clawing,to find the next diamond in the rough,on the waiver wire.  This week I have the challenge of figuring out who to sit.

Week 1Fantasy Football Sits 
by +Fantasy Football Beasthouse Senior Writer Juston Lonero @lonero_Justin

Week 10 Fantasy Football Sit Em's Quarterback's
1. Colin Kaepernick-(vs. Carolina) The good news is week 8 in London, the 49ers had their way with the Jaguars. The bad news is, coming off the bye week, they will face their most difficult challenge so far,in the Carolina Panthers.  The Panthers have allowed a league low (7)touchdowns from opposing quarterbacks. It is quite a contrast between the Jaguars defense and the Panthers.   Consider other options at quarterback if possible.

2. Matt Ryan-(vs. Seattle) Ryan has a 2:7 TD:INT ratio over his last two games.  He has been playing with a mediocre, at best, core of wide receivers.  Teams are double, and tripling Tony Gonzalez, forcing Ryan to make risky, and poor decisions.  He will face Seattle, week 10 at home.  The Seahawks have only given up 8 touchdowns in the air all season.  For his sake, Lets hope Roddy White comes back.

3. Carson Palmer-(vs.Houston) Coming off the bye week Palmer will face the Texans at home. The Texans have allowed the fewest amount of yards in the NFL.  His offensive line is terrible, but maybe, just maybe they have found a running back in Andre Ellington.  Palmer is on pace to throw 20 touchdowns, and 28 interceptions.  Insert upside down smiley face here.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Sit Em's Running Back's
1. Ryan Mathews-(vs. Denver) Well Mathews was a recommended start from me last week, and he disappointed.  The two previous weeks he had run for 100 yards.  He only got the ball seven times against the Redskins. He is at best a flex play week 10 at home against Denver.  The Broncos have only given up 495 yards, through 8 games on the ground.

2. Ben Tate-(@Arizona) Usually when we see Ben Tate playing for the Texans its good news for fantasy owners. A legit Rb 1 candidate, trapped on a team behind a perennial Pro Bowler.  Arian Foster is falling apart, and Ben Tate will get the bulk week 10.  Unfortunately the Texans go to Arizona, and face a defense that has only given up (2) touchdowns to running back's.

3. Giovani Bernard/ BJGE-(@Baltimore).  Truth be told, I have 0 allegiance to any NFL player.  I will play the hot player until he has no steam, drop him, or trade him away.  Bernard was a "start"of mine last week, and he was electrifying.  This week the Bengals hit the road and face the Ravens, who have only given up (1) touchdown on the ground all season.  Bernard is a little banged up, but even if he was healthy, the numbers suggest he wouldn't find pay dirt.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Sit Em's Wide Receivers
1. Harry Douglas-(vs. Seattle). His name looks as if it were posted outside a doctor's office or law firm.  But all kidding aside, he has been money, in the absence of Roddy White, and Julio Jones.  Week 10 he will face Richard Sherman and the Seattle Seahawks at home.  Only (4) wide receivers have found the end zone, in 9 games against the Seahawks.  Seek.alternative.avenues.

2. Jarrett Boykin-(vs. Philly) I know, Randall Cobb , James Jones, and Jermichael Finley got hurt.  You have found gold in Boykin, and you are going to win a championship, with a Packer wide receiver that doesn't have the last name Cobb, Jones, Nelson.  Then you woke up.  The Reality is Seneca Wallace is now the Quarterback in Green Bay now, and the Pack will probably lean on Eddie Lacy.  Although they have a juicy matchup week 10 against the Eagles,Boykin is the 4th option in the passing game.

3. Cecil Shorts-(@Tennesee) The Titans have allowed (2)touchdowns to wide receivers this season.  The garbage time king has only (2) touchdowns.  Justin Blackmon is suspended indefinitely, so Short's stock shoots up.  This will be a difficult matchup for Shorts in week 10.  It is sad that we have to rely on a player to perform in garbage time to help our fantasy teams.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Sit Em's Tight Ends
1. Andrew Quarless-(vs.Philadelphia) Week 9 Quarless led the Packer's in targets with (8).  Week 10 do not expect him to get in the end zone.  Two teams in the NFL have yet o allow a touchdown to a tight end.  The Chiefs and the Eagles.  If you have a tight end on the bye consider other options. Scott Chandler, and Zach Ertz are better fill in choices.

2. Jared Cook - (@Indy) There has not been a bigger tight end disappointment this season.  He was talked about all of camp and preseason.  Quickly he has become Kellen Clemens favorite target for the Rams.  Unfortunately he will face a Colts team week 10, who have been as stingy as any one against tight ends.  The Colts defense has given up just 287 yards, and (1) touchdown, in 8 games against tight ends.

3. Martellus Bennett-(vs. Detroit) The self proclaimed "Black Unicorn" is a TE 1.  It is amazing to me how thin,and generic this year's tight end upper echelon, group is.  The Lion's have only allowed one tight end this season to reach the end zone.  Bennett only has one touchdown since week 2.  He is a big red zone target the numbers would say he has a little over a 12% chance of scoring week 10.